Weather Rport: The modern-day nicely-marked low-stress region, that is lying over coastal Bangladesh and adjoining West Bengal, will now not convey significant rainfall across Odisha. The system will be inducing heavy to very heavy rainfall in the north-indoors parts of the country from July 29.
Although the version forecasts made through IMD, ECMWF, NCEP-GFS monitor that north-interior Odisha goes to receive excess rainfall between July 27 – August 2, the prediction of extremely heavy rainfall in neighboring Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh holds an ability flood threat for the state.
What seems worrisome for Odisha is, some other low strain will be forming over the northeast Bay of Bengal on August 5, in an effort to be bringing slightly heavy rains for the country’s north-indoors districts.
As per the NCEP-GFS version forecast, for the duration of the week of august 3 – nine, when the complete coastal, and southern districts in the nation are going to record forty-five – fifty-five percent excess gathered rainfall vis-a-vis the normal, the relaxation of the districts (especially north indoors) within the nation will be witnessing an excess accrued rainfall within the range of 55-75 percentage.
As in step with the version forecasts via IMD, ECMWF, NCEP-GFS, the contemporary well-marked low stress will pound the states of West Bengal, Jharkhand, and Chhattisgarh. The forecast predicts heavy rain for the duration of the morning hours (5 am) on July 29 in Odisha districts bordering Jharkhand and West Bengal.
Odisha effect: the modern low stress will induce heavy rains over Odisha from June 29 (morning hours) and could continue till midday. Moderate to heavy rain will hit the districts of Bhadrak, Jajpur, Mayurbhanj, Keonjhar, Dhenkanal, Angul, and Sundargarh again inside the morning hours on July 30. The rest of the districts may additionally document very mild rainfall with the expected collected rainfall in 6 hours ranging in between zero.Five-2 mm.
Is there any flood danger?
The version forecasts display because the well-marked low strain on its way in the direction of northwest India might be pounding the states of West Bengal, Jharkhand, and Chhattisgarh. The forecast of very heavy to extraordinarily heavy rainfall among July 29-31 in Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh poses the possibility of a higher inflow of water into the downstream basins of Mahanadi, Brahmani, Baitarani, Budhabalanga, and Suvarna Rekha.
The contemporary fame: at gift majority of the base stations in the river basin regions here have not recorded any rainfall until the morning hours these days. Furthermore, the measured water stages at the majority of the bottom stations were 2-3 meters beneath the caution stages. Although none of the bottom stations inside the kingdom has received any rainfall till this morning, few base stations on the river Brahmani-Baitarani and Mahanadi basins have a water level very near the hazard degree.
Given the forecast of very heavy to extraordinarily heavy rainfall inside the upstream states of Chhattisgarh and Jharkhand, at the side of heavy rainfall downstream right here, there may be a possibility of rivers going spate in the state.
The CWC forecast
Hirakud reservoir: as per the valuable water fee (CWC) forecast, Sundargarh may be recording 5-6mm rainfall per hour on July 31. With heavy rainfall upstream, the forecast says that discharge from Hirakud reservoir by using august 2 would touch 10,000 cubic meters in keeping with the second. And the inflow is ready to touch 800 million cubic meters (mcm) in keeping with 24 hours. The inflow to Hirakud in next 24 hours might be 349.29 mcm.
Rengali: as per the CWC forecast, the Panposh website online on the river Brahmani is anticipated to file extremely heavy rainfall of nine-10 mm in line with the hour on July 31. The forecast indicates via July 30, whilst the release from the reservoir can be one thousand cubic meters consistent with 2nd, the common influx will attain nearly six hundred mcm in keeping with 24 hours on August 1
Baitarani: even as the Anandpur web page at the river is expected to report rainfall in the range of five mm per hour on July 31, there appears no flood hazard until august 2.
Govindpur: as per the forecast, the website online on river Budhabalanga will get hold of 1.2mm rainfall in line with an hour on July 30. But there may be no flood hazard till Aug 2.
Source: Odisha TV.